MIOIR and Futures Diamond launch new executive education course on Foresight Methods

August 18, 2021 Leave a comment

Online Course on Foresight Methods

Course overview
  • Next date: 02 – 04 November 2021, 12.00pm-4.00pm (GMT)
  • Delivered by: Dr Rafael Popper and Dr Guillermo Velasco
  • Teaching: Lectures, interactive group exercises, case studies.
  • Location: Virtual Course, Zoom.
  • View our 2021 course brochure.

We are taking a new methodology and methods-based approach to short executive courses to provide agile and rapid training on common methodologies and methods used in foresight and futures studies.

Our method-based approach will be beneficial for anyone interested in designing, implementing, coordinating, managing or evaluating (both ex-ante and ex-post) processes related to foresight projects or the application of specific foresight methods. 

The Manchester Institute of Innovation Research and Futures Diamond are launching a new set of online courses focused on foresight ‘methods’.

The course is structured around six lectures and three interactive sessions delivered in a 3-half day programme (including optional individual and group practical exercises).

Reserve Your Place

To book your place, please contact the MIOIR manager Deborah Cox.

Course Programme

Half-day 1

Tuesday, 02 November

  • Session 1: Foresight Methodology and the Foresight Diamond
  • Session 2: How are foresight methods selected?
  • Practical: Interactive group session for Q&A and practical discussions
Half-day 2

Wednesday, 03 November

  • Session 3: Cross-Impact and Critical Issues Analysis
  • Session 4: Exploratory and Normative Delphi Surveys
  • Practical: Interactive group session for Q&A and practical discussions
Half-day 3

Thursday, 04 November

  • Session 5: Scenarios, Wild Cards and Weak Signals Analysis
  • Session 6: Robust Advice Framing and Action Roadmapping
  • Practical: Interactive group session for Q&A and practical discussion

About me in 5 slides

June 3, 2021 Leave a comment

A selection of my 1st Triannual Highlights for 2021

May 8, 2021 Leave a comment

Selected knowledge transfer activities

Popper, R., Koivisto, R., Kaivo-oja, J., Ahlqvist, T. & Ravetz, J. EU-SPRI 2021 Conference Track 4 confirmed with several accepted abstracts distributed in two sessions focused on: Transforming ‘wicked-problems’ into ‘moonshot-opportunities’: the role of research and innovation in the responsible and sustainable assessment of management of ‘catastrophes’, ‘wild cards’ and related ‘weak signals’.

Popper, R., Ahlqvis, T. & Kaivo-Oja, J. Conference abstract accepted for EU-SPRI 2021 Conference “Towards a Methodological Framework for a Sustainable Intelligence System on Uncertainties (SISU)”​

Loikkanen, T., Popper, R., Koivisto, R. Conference abstract accepted for EU-SPRI 2021 Conference “Using wild cards and weak signals analysis to boost safety and resilience of complex socio-technical systems: The case of nuclear catastrophes”.​

Al Hashmi, K. & Popper, R. Conference abstract accepted for EU-SPRI 2021 Conference “The role of uncertain futures in transforming wicked-problems into moonshot-opportunities: The case of human on Mars”​.

Popper, R., Brooks, L., Cuhls, K., Popper, M., Sokolov, A. & Velasco, G. Conference abstract accepted for EU-SPRI 2021 Conference “The role of “Universal Foresight” in the assessment and management of wicked-problems into moonshot-opportunities”​.

Popper, R., Villarroel, Y., Popper, RW. & Popper, M. Conference abstract accepted for EU-SPRI 2021 Conference “Towards a taxonomy and topology of wild cards: the role of dynamic systems in the analysis of wicked-problems and future solutions”.​

Popper, R. (22 April 2021) – Moscow, Russia. Speaker on “Disruptive innovations and exponential hope for sustainable growth” at the Higher School of Economics (HSE) and Sber Discussion Club at the 2021 International Academic Conference. The event was held in a hybrid format – with speakers gathering in the studio in Moscow, and viewers watching the livestream online.

Popper, R. (20 April 2021) – Helsinki, Finland. Speaker at the ASM International Finland Chapter Webinar on Building a sustainable future. The event was held in an online format. My presentation focused on “Future-oriented Sustainability Assessment and Management”. The session was attended by over 50 people.​

Leskinen, A., Popper, R., Auterinen, I. & Holt, E. (2021) Definition of implementation qualifiers and instruments for implementation. VTT report (Deliverable 1.3) to the EU-funded SHARE project on “A roadmap for Research in Decommissioning”, Available online at https://share-h2020.eu/wp-content/uploads/2021/05/SHARE_D1.3-Definition-Of-implementation-Qualifiers-VF.pdf

Popper, R. lecture and learning material concerning “Foresight Methodology and the Foresight Diamond” addressed to the participants of the Executive Education Course on Foresight Methods hosted by Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIOIR) of The University of Manchester in partnership with VTT. 23.2.2021​

Popper, R. lecture and learning material concerning “How are foresight methods selected?” addressed to the participants of the Executive Education Course on Foresight Methods hosted by Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIOIR) of The University of Manchester in partnership with VTT. 23.2.2021​

Popper, R. lecture and learning material concerning “Cross-Impact and Critical Issues Analysis” addressed to the participants of the Executive Education Course on Foresight Methods hosted by Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIOIR) of The University of Manchester in partnership with VTT. 24.2.2021​

Popper, R. lecture and learning material concerning “Exploratory and Normative Delphi Surveys” addressed to the participants of the Executive Education Course on Foresight Methods hosted by Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIOIR) of The University of Manchester in partnership with VTT. 24.2.2021​

Popper, R. lecture and learning material concerning “Scenarios, Wild Cards, Weak Signals Analysis” addressed to the participants of the Executive Education Course on Foresight Methods hosted by Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIOIR) of The University of Manchester in partnership with VTT. 25.2.2021​

Popper, R. lecture and learning material concerning “Robust Advice Framing and Action Roadmapping” addressed to the participants of the Executive Education Course on Foresight Methods hosted by Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIOIR) of The University of Manchester in partnership with VTT. 25.2.2021​

Popper, R. and Myllyoja, J.practical exercise using Miro on ”Designing and justifying a methodological approach in a foresight process” addressed to the participants of the Executive Education Course on Foresight Methods hosted by Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIOIR) of The University of Manchester in partnership with VTT. 23.2.2021​

Popper, R. and Myllyoja, J.practical exercise using Miro on ”Co-creating and prioritising a list of critical issues” addressed to the participants of the Executive Education Course on Foresight Methods hosted by Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIOIR) of The University of Manchester in partnership with VTT. 24.2.2021​

Popper, R. and Myllyoja, J. practical exercise using Miro on ”Scenarios and related policy advice” addressed to the participants of the Executive Education Course on Foresight Methods hosted by Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIOIR) of The University of Manchester in partnership with VTT. 25.2.2021​

Velasco, G., Popper, R., Miles, I.(2021)Foresight and STI Governance journal article on “Repositioning People In Creative Futures: A Method To Create Sound Advice With Exploratory Scenarios” accepted at Special Issue on ‘Methodology For Science Technology Innovation (STI) Governance, Foresight, and Roadmapping’

Popper, R. et al: 27.1. Completing printed version of the UAESA-VTT White Paper. Towards a Roadmap for Future UAE Deep Space Missions and the Sustainable Settlement of Humans on Mars.

Popper, R. et al: 28.1. Completing printed version (100 copies ordered) of the VTT Technology Report 379 on The Future of Forest-based Bioeconomy Areas: Strategic openings in Uruguay and the World by 2050. Report co-authored by Rafael Popper, Nina Rilla, Klaus Niemelä, Juha Oksanen, Matthias Deschryvere & Matti Virkkunen. URL: https://cris.vtt.fi/en/publications/the-future-of-forest-based-bioeconomy-areas-strategic-openings-in​

Popper, R. et al: 28.1. Speaker at virtual event to publicly launch the 1KTS4Lukasiewicz project on A single knowledge transfer strategy for institutes of the Łukasiewicz Research Network Poland. Some 70+ scientists from several RTOs attended the event.

Selected engagement and outreach activities

Popper, R. External Appointment as Member of the Advisory Board of ‘Technological Forecasting & Social Change’Journal.
URL: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/technological-forecasting-and-social-change/editorial-board/r-popper

Popper, R. (22.04) – Moscow, Russia. Panel Discussant at the Higher School of Economics (HSE) and Sber Discussion Club at the 2021 International Academic Conference. Panel discussion on “Disruptive innovations” was livestreamed online in Russian media.

Popper, R. Interviewed about “Challenges and opportunities on inhabiting Mars” by Veikkaus X magazine – To appear online in https://www.veikkaus.fi/fi/x

Popper, R. and Myllyoja, J. featured in a review article titled ‘Foresight Methods Course (Winter 2021)‘ authored by Tim Schatz and published in the Blog on science, technology and innovation policy management from Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIOIR). https://mioirblog.wordpress.com/2021/03/03/foresight-methods-course-winter-2021/  ​

Popper, R. and Myllyoja, J. featured in a review article authored by Tim Schatz and published in the Universal Foresight Blog ‘Attending the ‘Foresight Methods’ Executive Education Course hosted by Manchester Institute of Innovation Research in Partnership with VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland Ltd’:  https://www.universalforesight.com/uf-blog/posts/attending-the-foresight-methods-executive-education-course-hosted-by-manchester-institute-of-innovation-research-in-partnership-with-vtt-technical-research-centre-of-finland-ltd/  ​

Popper, R. and Myllyoja, J. Excellent feedback from the participants of the Foresight Methods Course (February 2021), attended by 22 professionals from 13 countries.

Popper, R. et al: New Customer Project 1KTS4Lukasiewicz: A single knowledge transfer strategy for institutes of the Lukasiewicz Research Network Poland.

Popper, R. Analysis of Top 20 most impactful foresight publications in the last 20 years featured in the Blog of the Foresight program at the University of Houston. See https://www.houstonforesight.org/top-20-most-impactful-foresight-publications/

Popper, R. et al: (28.1).Excellent public event for the 1KTS4Lukasiewicz project.

And the Finnish honeymoon goes on… thanks to the lovely community spirit of our neighbourhood (Henttaa, Espoo)

April 12, 2021 Leave a comment

Finland is globally known as a cold Nordic country… However, since we arrived in 2016 we have been surprised about the warmth we have experienced in the neighbourhood we chose to settle in. Whether it is luck, karma or a generalisable ‘beyond the obvious’ feature of the Finnish society, we feel blessed to have met a countless and growing number of people living in what we can only describe as a hidden “magical oasis” in the heart of Espoo (Hennttaa and its surroundings), also known as Lillhemt ❤️

Here is an unconventional description of our family in an article called “Meet the Poppers” that the local newspaper Lillhemtin Sanomat published both in English and Finnish to welcome and introduce us to the lovely community where we live!

Executive Course on SMART Foresight

March 6, 2021 Leave a comment

Course overview: 3 half days | 9 sessions | 12 Hours

  • Next date: 6-8 Jul 2021; 12.00pm-4.00pm GMT.
  • Delivered by: Dr Rafael Popper and Dr Guillermo Velasco.
  • Teaching: Lectures, practical exercises, case studies.
  • Location: Zoom (This is a virtual course).

Click here to view the course brochure

We are taking a new approach to short executive courses to provide agile and rapid training on how to design and manage the five phases of a SMART foresight and futures research process: Scoping, Mobilising, Anticipating, Recommending and Transforming.

Our SMART approach will be beneficial for anyone who tave taken the ‘Foresight in Action’ and ‘Foresight Methods’ courses, as well as newcomers. The course is primarily focused on process design and management with emphasis on how to plan and execute a fully-fledged foresight process.

Together with VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland Ltd we have introduced a new set of online courses aimed at boosting foresight and futures know-how. The course is structured around 5 core lectures (approx. 90-120 minutes each) and 5 interactive sessions (approx. 60-90 minutes each) delivered in a 5-half day programme (including optional individual and group practical exercises).

Course certificate from The University of Manchester will be provided.

You may register for one half day, two half days or the full course.  Costs are shown in the brochure. To book your place, please contact the Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIOIR) manager Deborah Cox.

Course programme

Half-day 1

Tuesday, 06 July 2021

  • Session 1: How to design and manage the SCOPING phase of a foresight process?
    Defining key objectives, project team, budget, time horizon and methodology.
  • Session 2: How to design and manage the MOBILISING phase of a foresight process?
    Engaging sponsors, key stakeholders and domain/methodology experts.
  • Practical: Interactive group session for Q&A and practical discussions/exercises

Half-day 2

Wednesday, 07 July 2021

  • Session 3: How to design and manage the ANTICIPATING phase of a foresight process?
    Anticipating possible futures, visions and forward-looking issues, roadmaps and models.
  • Session 4: How to design and manage the RECOMMENDING phase of a foresight process?
    Providing strategic, tactical and operational recommendations with robust advice framing.
  • Practical: Interactive group session for Q&A and practical discussions/exercises

Half-day 3

Thursday, 08 July 2021

  • Session 5: How to design and manage the TRANSFORMING phase of a foresight process
    Promoting multi-systemic transformations through sustainable impact and excellence.
  • Practical: Interactive group session for Q&A and practical discussions/exercises
  • Challenge: Group presentations with real-time evaluation à la Dragons’ Den

Foresight Methods Course (Winter 2021)

March 6, 2021 Leave a comment
MIOIR Blog

On 23-25 February 2021 the Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIOIR) in partnership with VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland Ltd hosted an executive education course on Foresight Methods. Some 20+ participants from 13 countries attended the sessions, which included 6 lectures and 3 practical exercises.

VTT Senior Scientist Dr. Tim Schatz wrote an opinion article in which he reflects about his experience, as well as the structure and discussions dynamics. Tim’s article has been published in both, the MIOIR Blog on science, and innovation policy management; and the Universal Foresight Blog.

UF Blog

Successful completion of the 2021 MIOIR-VTT Executive Course on Foresight Methods

February 26, 2021 Leave a comment

Tuesday 23rd – Thursday 25th February 2021 – MIOIR (UK) and VTT (Finland) worked together to deliver a three-half days, online, short course delivered over three afternoons on the topic of Foresight Methods. The course comprised six lectures delivered by Dr Rafael Popper (MIOIR & VTT) and three interactive sessions designed and jointly facilitated by Jouko Myllyoja (VTT).

The course helped participants better understand important aspects about Foresight Methodology and explore the following Foresight Methods: Cross-Impact Analysis, Critical Issues Analysis, Delphi Surveys, Wild Cards Analysis, Weak Signals Analysis, Scenarios, Action Roadmapping and Robust Advice Framing.

The course was delivered using Zoom for the lectures and discussions, Miro for the interactive sessions and Dropbox for file sharing. Twenty-Two participants from 13 different countries attended representing the EC JRC, EC Secretariat general of the Presidency of the Council of Ministers, UKRI, Embassy of the Czech Republic in Washington, DC, Dubai Police, Research Institutes and Universities attended the course.

Professor Jonatan Pinkse gave a short introduction to the course on the first afternoon. Feedback from the participants during the course was extremely favourable and, as a result, we will run the course again online next year. The course was facilitated and supported by the MIOIR/SCI admin team.

VTT Technology report: The Future of Forest-based Bioeconomy Areas

February 1, 2021 Leave a comment

The Future of Forest-based Bioeconomy Areas: Strategic openings in Uruguay and the World by 2050

This VTT Technology report on ‘The Future of Forest-based Bioeconomy Areas: Strategic openings in Uruguay and the World by 2050’ is the result of a multistakeholder and multi-disciplinary foresight exercise commissioned by the Government of Uruguay in 2018 and completed in 2019.

The overall goal of the project was to contribute to Uruguay’s National Development Strategy 2050 through the following specific objectives:

  • To identify key global forest-based bioeconomy areas by 2050;
  • To identify needs and gaps in the prioritised FBA in Uruguay;
  • To develop a shared vision for the forest-based bioeconomy in Uruguay by 2050; and
  • To develop a strategic Action Roadmap to achieve the shared vision for the forest-based bioeconomy in Uruguay by 2050. 
How to cite?
Popper, R., Rilla, N., Niemelä, K., Oksanen, J., Deschryvere, M., Virkkunen, M., & Loikkanen, T. (2020). The Future of Forest-based Bioeconomy Areas: Strategic openings in Uruguay and the World by 2050. VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland. VTT Technology No. 379
 https://doi.org/10.32040/2242-122X.2020.T379

The most important outcomes of the project include: a shared vision for key foresight-based bioeconomy areas (FBAs), as well as five consolidated Action Roadmaps with 511 concrete short-medium-to-long-term actions related to Forest management (FBA1), Mechanical wood processing (FBA2), Fibre-based biomaterial processing (FBA3), Biorefining (FBA4), and Bioenergy (FBA5). In addition, the report provides more detailed recommendations addressing a wide range of research, education, innovation and institutional needs related to the Top 3 Opportunity Pathways (OPs) of the five FBAs. The methodology of the project involved systematic critical issues analysis (drivers, barriers, threats and opportunities), a multi-stakeholder Delphi-like survey, global value network and business news analysis, visioning workshops and action roadmapping.

This report is valuable for government, business, research and civil society actors interested in the state-of-the-art and the future of key forest-based bioeconomy areas in the world. Foresight researchers and practitioners will also find interesting methodological approaches, such as the consolidated action roadmaps.

Finally, taking a worldview perspective, while the project provided an opportunity for foresight knowledge transfer from Europe to Latin America, both the findings and methodology are equally relevant for other world regions and countries concerned with the future of the forest-based bioeconomy.

EU-SPRI 2021 Conference Track on Transforming ‘wicked-problems’ into ‘moonshot-opportunities’

January 26, 2021 Leave a comment

10th Annual EU-SPRI Conference: “Science and innovation – an uneasy relationship? Rethinking the roles and relations of STI policies”

A couple of decades ago, the concepts of science and innovation became steady partners, especially in policy. Countries, regions and the EU developed policies and support instruments for science and innovation – indicating that there is a close relationship between these two activities and therefore also policy areas. Although this is certainly sometimes the case, the Eu-SPRI 2021 conference invites participants to a more critical and reflexive discussion of this link. What are the problems of seeing science and innovation as two sides of the same coin? Is the merger of the two policy areas in some cases a barrier to solving societal challenges as much as it represents a solution? When is it helpful to look at science and innovation, and when do we need to keep them apart? Such questions are not just important for society, but also for developing the community interested in science and innovation policy studies.

The Eu-SPRI 2021 conference aims to discuss the boundries and linkages between these two sets of practices and how it can be usefully conceptualized to inform future and address current and future societal challanges. This will also allow the interdisciplinary community that studies science and innovation policies to join the conference to reflect upon their own history, trajectory and frameworks.

Although, many different topics are useful for understanding and elaborating the science-innovation boundry, the conference will primarily address three important themes: (1) Addressing the role of research and innovation in times of crises; (2) Impact, excellence and Beyond: Reframing the science-society relationship; and (3) Technology push or societal change – the widening scope of STI policies in sustainability transitions.

Visit https://www.euspri2021.no/cfp/

In the theme focused on Addressing the role of research and innovation in times of crises we are organising a track on Transforming wicked-problems into moonshot-opportunities.

Transforming ‘wicked-problems’ into ‘moonshot-opportunities’: The role of research and innovation in the responsible and sustainable assessment and management of ‘catastrophes’, ‘wild cards’ and related ‘weak signals’

  • Convenors: Rafael Popper, Raija Kovisto, Jari Kaivo-oja, Toni Ahlquist and Joe Ravetz.
  • Session type: Full paper session and speed talk sessions.
  • Click here to visit Track webpage at the EU-SPRI2021 website

The Covid pandemic has brought the importance of foresight and wild card analysis to the forefront of the research and innovation (R&I) policy debate. A decade ago the European Commission devoted considerable resources to the so-called Blue Sky research initiatives, to better position wild cards and weak signals analysis in the foresight realm, as well as in science, technology and innovation (STI) policy circles, with the help of collaborative research efforts such as the iKnow project. The world faces complex and interconnected Grand Challenges that require complex and interconnected responses, calling for creative action based on strategic thinking. Over 20 years of research and policy on sustainable development and innovation, we have seen that the need is as clear as ever – we need a step change in the quality of foresight-driven shared intelligence at every level – communities, organisations, networks, economies and societies, from local to global. How to go about this? This track calls for theoretical, methodological and practical contributions supporting the systematic and timely interconnection of social and technical knowledge, developing forward-looking tools and methods for addressing ‘wicked problems’ (including grand challenges, wild cards and related weak signals) by providing relevant frameworks and knowledge on potential ‘wicked solutions’ or grand responses.

The proposed session will focus on frameworks for theory and practice interconnecting the four ecosystems associated to what could be referred to as the ever growing ‘Knowledge Diamond’ (see also Unger and Polt, 2017), consisting of: Research ecosystems, Education ecosystems, Innovation ecosystems and Regulation ecosystems.

It has become recognised that R&I programmes should be addressing the ‘wicked problems’ or societal challenges that confront Europe and the world. A huge amount of information has been generated concerning such challenges, creating a knowledge management problem even for those working within one problem area. The problem is even greater when we take into account the need for understanding of the possible interactions or synergies between societal challenges. The volume of information is continuously increasing with studies at various levels of granularity, and considerable controversy associated with many of the topics. The notion of societal challenges and related crises is not just indicating that these are “wicked problems” that confront our societies. They are understood as presenting challenges that can be addressed through RTDI and the creation of conducive environments for adoption of innovations. Challenges may be rooted in economic, social or scientific goals but share a need to demonstrate their relevance, feasibility, and a clear research dimension.

The session will seek new methods for systematic assessment of crises, catastrophes, wild cards and related weak signals, as well as their management with the help of R&I (policy). Contributions are expected to extend this approach to a more general process of foresight, horizon scanning and critical issues analysis with concrete applications to grand challenges and the ultimate goal of devising ‘wicked’ or ‘grand’ solutions and responses. The rationale for this is a simple one: without a wide-ranging assessment of factors that may impinge upon the trajectories of grand challenges and the outcomes of grand solutions – especially factors that are generally overlooked, or only manifest currently as “weak signals” – it is very likely that analyses and prescriptions (also in the form of R&I policy) will be too linear and insufficiently robust. As with other aspects related to crises, relevant knowledge is widely dispersed, and appropriate action crucially requires inputs from many stakeholders. Resilient societies can confront change more effectively when informed stakeholders are better able to understand the nature of these changes, and the likely responses of their partners. This effectively means that foresight-driven strategic intelligence (including wild cards and weak signals analyses) should be widely distributed, and regularly co-produced and applied in multi-stakeholder settings. The session can be linked to ongoing political discussions of economic and social stress tests of the Member States of the European Union.

In summary the track themes would include:

  • State-of-the-art frameworks for the mapping of catastrophes, wild cards & weak signals
  • State-of-the-art approaches for the assessment of catastrophes, wild cards & weak signals
  • State-of-the-art approaches for the management of catastrophes, wild cards & weak signals

This track aims to include a mix of full paper sessions, speed talks for work in an early stage as well as roundtable sessions. We are open to collaborate with other scholars in the field to organise the track.

References

Ariffin, A., Maavak, M. and Miles, I. (2018). ‘Managing Uncertainties via an Embedded Foresight Regimen in the National Policy Planning Architecture’. International Journal of Engineering Technologies and Management Research, 5(6), pp. 1-14. DOI: https://doi.org/10.29121/ijetmr.v5.i6.2018.241.

Kaivo-oja, J. (2012) Weak Signals Analysis, Knowledge Management Theory and Systemic Socio-cultural Transitions. Futures. The Journal of Policy, Planning and Futures Studies. Vol. 44, Issue 3, pp. 206–217.

Kaivo-oja, J. & Lauraeus, T. (2018) The VUCA Approach as a Solution Concept to Corporate Foresight Challenges and Global Technological Disruption. Foresight. The Journal of Future Studies, Strategic Thinking and Policy. Vol. 20 Issue: 1, pp. 27-49.

Koivisto, R., Kulmala, I., and Gotcheva, N. (2016). Weak signals and damage scenarios – systematics to identify weak signals and their sources related to mass transport attacks. Technological Forecasting & Social Change Vol. 104(2016) March 2016, pp. 180 – 190. doi:10.1016/j.techfore.2015.12.010

Mendonca, Sandro, Cunha, Miquel P., Kaivo-oja, Jari and Ruff, Frank (2004) Wild Cards, Weak Signals and Organisational Improvisation. Futures. The Journal of Forecasting, Planning and Policy, Vol. 36, Issue 2, pp. 201-218.

Pajula, T. and Popper, R. (2020) ‘Towards a Hybrid Framework for Sustainable Innovation’ in Martini, M., Holsgens, R., Popper, R. (2020) (Eds), Governance and Management of Sustainable Innovation: Learning from Experience to Shape the Future, Springer.

Popper, R., Popper, M., and Velasco, G. (2020) ‘Sustainable Innovation Assessment and Management Framework: Principles, Methodology and Practice’ in Martini, M., Holsgens, R., Popper, R. (2020) (Eds), Governance and Management of Sustainable Innovation: Learning from experience to Shape the Future, Springer.

Popper, R. and Butler, J. (Eds) (2011) iKnow Policy Alerts, Report of the Blue Sky iKnow Project for the European Commission Directorate-General for Research and Innovation Socio-economic Sciences and Humanities, Manchester: The University of Manchester. ISBN 978-0-946007-22-6.

Ravetz, J, (2020): Pandemic-3.0 – from crisis to transformation – Exploring the COVID-19 Challenge. Journal of Future Studies. https://jfsdigital.org/2020/08/18/pandemic-3-0-from-crisis/

Ravetz, J, Miles I, Popper R (2011) iKnow ERA Toolkit: European Research Area Toolkit – Applications of Wild Cards and Weak Signals to the Grand Challenges & Thematic Priorities of the ERA: Manchester Institute of Innovation Research, University of Manchester. ISBN 978-0-946007-26-4. Availble online at http://community.iknowfutures.org/news/toolkit.php

Unger, M. and Polt, W. (2017), ‘The knowledge triangle between research, education and innovation – a conceptual discussion,’ Foresight and STI Governance, Vol. 11, No. 2, pp. 10-26. https://doi.org/10.17323/2500-2597.2017.2.10.26

Top 20 highlights from 2020

January 1, 2021 Leave a comment

Happy New Year to all!

2020 has been surprisingly productive in multiple fronts. The following one minute video shows some 20 highlights:

  1. Universal Foresight Observatory (UFO)
  2. Universal Foresight Research and Innovation Ecosystem
  3. Hat-trick in Top 10 most cited foresight works between 2000-2020
  4. UAE Space Agency White Paper
  5. VTT Technology Report
  6. New customer project in China
  7. New strategic project in Poland (1KTS4Lukasiewicz)
  8. New Springer book on Governance and Management of Sustainable Innovation
  9. Three chapters (Ch 1, Ch 9 & Ch 10) in Springer book
  10. Edward Elgar Book project (The Handbook of Universal Foresight)
  11. Edward Elgar Book project (The Handbook of Foresight Methods)
  12. Book project on Foresight in Ibero-America
  13. Honorary Senior Lecturer at The University of Manchester
  14. Director of Executive Education on Foresight in Action at The University of Manchester
  15. Director of Executive Education on Foresight Methods at The University of Manchester
  16. Director of course (Guest Professor) on Foresight for STI (Chile)
  17. 11,150 blog visits from 117 countries and territories
  18. Lifelong title of Professor of Fun given by 120+ representatives from 22 countries
  19. 1st birthday of our 3rd son
  20. Baby Popper number 4 expected in the Summer 2021
Rafael Popper’s 2020 highlights