Archive for March, 2010

Meeting with the Venezuelan Ambassador to Czech Republic

March 31, 2010 Comments off

Thanks to one of the Czech experts participating in the Security Group of the iKNOW workshop in the Czech Republic (Dr Vivienne Soyková), I had the opportunity to meet with the Ambassador of Venezuela in Czech Republic (H.E. Mr. Victor Julian Hernandez).

During our 90-minutes meeting, we discussed about historical linkages and cultural similarities between Venezuela and Eastern Europe (e.g. the traditional role of the family as the most important institution driving societal change). We also talked about the need to promote participatory and prospective policy-making processes in Latin America, such as the Venezuelan Technology Foresight Programme. In particular, we exchanged ideas about strategies for science, technology and innovation (STI) knowledge and know-how repatriation.

Coordinating IT Workshop on iKnow Web-Environment Beta 3

March 31, 2010 Comments off

Organising and coordinating a trilateral meeting (University of Manchester, Cyber Fox and Mindcom) and technology development workshop aimed to build a shared vision on the next steps for the successful completion of the iKNOW Community, the WI-WE Bank (wild cards and weak signals library) and the iKNOW Delphi survey.

Concluding iKNOW Workshop in Prague: Day 2 (Weak Signals & Actions)

March 30, 2010 Comments off

The Czech Technology Centre of the Academy of Sciences and the University of Manchester successfully completed Day Two of the iKNOW workshop in Prague. This involved: (1) Looking at the relationship between Wild Cards and Weak Signals and what issues this creates and (2) Discussing early actions and potential early reactions for the policy, research and business sectors.

At the end of the working sessions, we presented the past, ongoing and future activities of the iKNOW project. For further information, please visit the project website at:

Presenting past, ongoing and future activities of the iKNOW project

Presenting past, ongoing and future activities of the iKNOW project

Organising iKNOW Workshop in Prague: Day 1 (Wild Cards)

March 29, 2010 Comments off

The Czech Technology Centre of the Academy of Sciences and the University of Manchester organised an interactive workshop in Prague on 29th and 30th March 2010. The workshop is part of the iKNOW project’s activities aimed to discuss the impact of unexpected events on European research and development (R&D) and look at the implications this may have on future R&D priorities, innovation, growth and sustainability.

ICT Group

Group 1

The workshop focused on surprising events (e.g. wild cards) and emerging issues (including weak signals) with four groups looking at three overlapping themes: Information and Communication Technologies, Security and Nuclear Research.

The workshop had five main objectives:

  1. To introduce the Wild Card approach and our Grand Challenges list
  2. To analyse and evaluate Wild Cards from the iKnow library
  3. To generate new Wild Cards which are relevant to selected themes
  4. To look at the relationship between Wild Cards and Weak Signals
  5. To explore implications for policy, research and technology development

Twenty wild card situations were discussed during the first day of the workshop.

iKNOW workshop in Prague (March 2010)

iKNOW workshop in Prague (March 2010)

Speaking at UK’s Defence Science and Technology Laboratory [dstl]

March 25, 2010 Comments off

Defence Nuclear Biological and Chemical Centre (DNBCC)

Speaking about ‘Horizon Scanning 2.0 and the iKNOW project’ at a one-day DSTL Symposium on tools and techniques for horizon scanning. The Symposium brought together 60-70 practitioners and users of horizon scanning to discuss different approaches to data gathering, processing and assimilation (‘filtering’), communication, and exploitation within the horizon scanning domain.

Popper’s presentation at DSTL Horizon Scanning Symposium (March 2010)

The Future Internet Delphi

March 22, 2010 Comments off
Future Internet Delphi

Future Internet Delphi: Round 1

Here we present the results of the first round of the Delphi Survey on the Future Internet.

A total of 235 experts took part in the study. These results have been used for main goal of the EU-funded Towards A Future Internet (TAFI) project: the creation of scenarios about a future internet. Two other major sources were also used to form the scenarios as well as the results of this Delphi Survey First Round: (1) Research on the many trends at a socio-economic level that will influence a future internet and also other projects looking at this subject, such as the Stanford ‘Clean Slate’ project; and (2) A major two-day workshop in September 2009 in Brussels with some 20 external experts, which produced strong debate and helped us to reshape our ideas, in some ways completely.

All of this work has been to put together in an initial analysis, an Interim Report, soon to be released, whose core is a set of early scenarios.

Which is the most important role of the internet TODAY and in the future?

Which is the most important role of the internet TODAY and in the future?

In the second round of this Delphi survey we wish to analyse a series of early scenarios, based on the first round’s results plus the extra socio-economic research and the September 2010 Brussels workshop.

So the Second Round presents five scenarios for you to consider and critique. These may seem to be extensions in particular directions but this is to make them identifiably different so that particular characteristics can be clearly seen, although overlaps may exist while combinations of several scenarios may be preferred.

The second round of the Delphi survey and the report are available at:
Towards a Future Internet project website

Opening of the Centre of Foresight Studies (CEP) in Mexico

March 19, 2010 Comments off

On the 19th of March 2010, the Institute of Management and Public Administration of the State of Mexico (IAPEM) opened a new Centre for Foresight Studies (CEP). The ceremony began with welcoming remarks from the President of IAPEN, Isidro Muñoz Rivera, who introduced some of the rationales and specific objectives of the Centre of Foresight Studies (CEP), for example: to undertake foresight studies in a context characterised by constant paradigm transformation; to visualise scenarios for better management and public administration practices; and to achieve desirable and possible futures through effective governance and participative policy-making.

This was followed by a few words from the Head of the National Advisory Board of the Centre, Yuri Serbolov Palos, who briefly introduced the Mexican activities and major players in foresight. Subsequently, the Director of CEP, Christian Alvarado, introduced the two international speakers: Rafael Popper (keynote on Global Foresight Practices and Trends) and Javier Medina (keynote on Foresight in Latin America).

After the keynotes, a commemorative plaque was unveiled. The English translation reads:

A space of reflection for good governance

On the Nineteenth of March of 2010 was the inauguration of the
With the presence of the distinguished foresighters:
Rafael Popper
University of Manchester, England
Javier Medina
Universidad del Valle, Colombia

, State of Mexico


Opening of the Foresight Studies Centre (CEP, Toluca, Mexico)

Opening of the Foresight Studies Centre (CEP, State of Mexico, Mexico)

Delivering foresight course via web stream to Pakistan (Day 2)

March 2, 2010 Comments off

Short training course on foresight methodology (based on Chapter 3 of the Handbook) and how are foresight methods selected (award winning paper).

Delivering foresight course via web stream to Pakistan (Day 1)

March 1, 2010 Comments off

Training course on the use of foresight around the world: practices, outcomes and players. Short introduction to the Mapping Activities of the European Foresight Platform.

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