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Interview with the HSE News Service

June 5, 2018 Leave a comment

logo_с_hse_cmyk_eConsistently ranked as one of Russia’s top universities, the Higher School of Economics (HSE) is a leader in Russian education and one of the preeminent economics and social sciences universities in Eastern Europe and Eurasia. Having rapidly grown into a well-renowned research university over two decades, HSE sets itself apart with its international presence and cooperation.

In a recent interview with the HSE News Service, I spoke in depth about my research interests, teaching philosophy and long-lasting collaboration with HSE Institute for Statistical Studies and Economics of Knowledge and Laboratory for Economics of Innovation.

Click here to read the full interview

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VTT’s International Excellence and Impact Hat-trick

April 28, 2018 Leave a comment

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Three expert workshops (Latin America + Australia + Europe) in three weeks:

  • Latin America Expert Workshop on ‘Innovation Management and Intelligent Leadership’ aimed to co-create knowledge on strategic cooperation opportunities between Finland and Costa Rica.
  • Australia Expert Workshop aimed to create a shared vision and an action roadmap for the establishment of the Innovation Center in the Ballarat region.
  • European Training Foundation (ETF) Expert Workshop on the Future of Work and Skills aimed to promote an open debate for a collective reflection among the experts on the impact of global developments on the future of work and skills in the developing and transition countries.

2018 Course on The ART of Foresight & Sustainable Futures

February 27, 2018 Leave a comment

Interested in shaping the future? Join our 5-day course (2-6 July) on ‘The ART of Foresight & Sustainable Futures’ in the Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIOIR). Since 2018 the course runs in partnership with VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, a leading global research & technology development organization.

  • To download the 2018 course brochure, please click here
  • To visit the webpage of the 2018 course, please click here

Anticipating, Recommending and Transforming Research and Innovation Futures

The world is experiencing great uncertainties about the unfolding economic crisis and its aftershocks. Many countries, industries and public services face challenging futures where the quest for opportunities is increasingly competitive. Economic discontent has combined with existing political stresses to catch many institutions – and countries – wrong-footed. Meanwhile, globalisation, migration, environmental, political and technological trends are reshaping the rules of the game. This calls for critical reflections on existing assumptions, plans and strategies for the long-term future. Our foresight course explores ways in which decision-makers can address uncertainties. How to produce sound and forward looking results that are useful for decision-makers?

The Manchester Institute of Innovation Research has been running an annual foresight training course since 1999. Building on over twenty years of foresight experience, we are able to call upon a wealth of expertise, from staff with know-how of the practice of foresight, as well as from sponsors and practitioners. The course now runs in partnership with VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, a leading global research and technology development organisation. Future-oriented innovation policy research is a key focus for VTT, supported by the Centre’s competencies in qualitative and quantitative methods.

Course staff and invited experts/speakers

Torino Process Expert Roundtable On Policy Evaluation

February 25, 2018 Leave a comment
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Relevant policy assessment and evaluation frameworks

The European Training Foundation (ETF) has initiated a reflection on how the Torino Process (TRP) can be used to introduce and promote an evaluation dimension in the exercise.  

To that end, on February 26th an expert roundtable has been organised in Torino (Italy) to share knowledge and practices in the area of policy evaluation, and discuss their applicability in line with the specificities of the TRP and its partner countries.

The expert meeting aims to provide an opportunity to get acquainted with selected aspects of the TRP, and benefit from the knowledge and advice of renowned experts in evaluation concerning key questions, such as whether evaluation could add value to the TRP and if yes, how.

The outcomes of the meeting will inform the preparation of the next cycle of the TRP and help to adjust accordingly the framework and modalities of TRP implementation.

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The Torino Process

The Torino expert meeting offers an excellent opportunity to share lessons learned from state-of-the-art evaluation experiences, such as the twelve (12) key performance indicators (KPIs) considered in VTT’s Strategic and Sound Evaluation Approach (see Hiltunen et al., 2017/forthcoming), the four (4) dimensions and ten (10) key aspects used in the CASI-F Framework for the Assessment and Management of Sustainable Innovation (see Popper et al., 2017) and twenty (20) fully-fledged evaluation criteria used in the (“old but gold”) MIOIR‘s Evaluating Foresight study (Popper et al., 2010).

Relevant reports

 

Foresight and the future of science

January 18, 2018 Leave a comment
Popper_2018_Foresigh-and-the-future-of-science

Keynote at the 275th Anniversary Symposium of the 
Friedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg

Abstract

Foresight has emerged as a key instrument for the development and implementation of research and innovation policy. Foresight is a systematic, participatory, prospective and policy-oriented process which, with the support of environmental/horizon scanning approaches, is aimed to actively engage key stakeholders into a wide range of activities anticipating, recommending and transforming (ART) technological, economic, environmental, political, social and ethical (TEEPSE) futures.

In Georghiou et al. (2008) Foresight is characterised by long-term orientation, use of a range of formal tools and techniques for long-term analyses, involvement of a wide pool of expertise and stakeholders and crossing disciplinary boundaries and professional compartments. Five non-exclusive generations of foresight have influenced practices over the last decades: 1st Generation (focused on dynamics of technology), 2nd Generation (focused on technology and markets), 3rd Generation (focused on technology and markets + social dimension), 4th Generation (focused on distributed role in the STI system) and 5th Generation (focused combined with other strategic fora).

Overall, there are top five rationales to argue the case for, and inform the design and use of, foresight: directing or prioritising investment in STI; building new networks & linkages around a common vision; extending the breadth of knowledge and visions of the future; bringing new actors into the strategic debate; and improving policy-making and strategy formation. This presentation illustrates through five cases (Irish Technology Futures; Media Weak Signals; VTT Lighthouses; CASI-F; and VERA case) how these rationales have shaped foresight and the future of science.

See PDF slides: Popper_2018_Keynote-on-Foresight-and-the-future-of-science

Towards a more responsible sustainable innovation assessment and management culture in Europe

January 15, 2018 Leave a comment

This article presents new concepts and practical approaches resulting from the piloting of CASI-F – a common framework for the assessment and management of sustainable innovation (SI). Based on lessons learned from action research carried out in the context of the EU funded CASI project, the article focuses on the meta-analysis of 46 action roadmaps produced with 43 innovators supporting the practical application of CASI-F. The applied methodology helped to demonstrate that a multi-level and multi-actor advice approach promotes a shift towards improved understanding of innovations-related critical issues (barriers, drivers, opportunities and threats) and stakeholders’ relations, as well as their management, thus promoting the sustainable resilience and transformation of socio-technical systems. This paper first reflects on how we arrived to managerial lessons from the actions roadmaps and how could these lessons be used to assess the current state of affairs and potential way forward for European initiatives and instruments promoting sustainable innovation.

Article URL: http://empas.pb.edu.pl/data/magazine/article/557/en/popper_et_al.pdf

Keywords: sustainable innovation, management, resilience, action roadmaps

Journal: Engineering Management in Production and Services

VTT team shows how the GTAP model will be used in the forest-based bioeconomy foresight project in Uruguay

August 16, 2017 Leave a comment

IMG_2181The forest-based (or wood-based) bioeconomy is an important sub-sector of the overall bioeconomy. In countries with an abundant forest resources the economic magnitude of forests in bioeconomy is high, for example in Finland, roughly half of total bioeconomy output. The countries with substantial forest resources and related advanced scientific and technological competences have good opportunities to play a role of forerunner in the modern future oriented bioeconomy.

In the context of the Forest-based Bioeconomy Areas in Uruguay by 2050 project VTT is leading with the support of the Office of Planning and Budgeting (OPP) of Uruguay and several representatives from government, business, research and civil society actors, Dr. Juha Honkatukia and Dr. Rafael Popper showed how the GTAP model can be used to identify future bioeconomy policy options for Uruguay.

Finnish experience on using modelling to support strategic planning

The session gives several examples on the use of economic modelling in the analyses of policies to boost the development of bioeconomy in Finland, ranging from the national energy and climate strategies to assessment of the viability and regional consequences of biorefineries.

GTAP model

The session on the GTAP model will cover the structure of the model and its core databases with emphasis on the applicability of the model on single-country analyses. As the GTAP data base covers bilateral trade on dozens of commodities and over a hundred countries, the session will also facilitate a discussion on the necessary aggregation of the basic data.

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