In 2012 we have successfully delivered the first Beta versions of the Horizon Scanning Hub of the Centre for Workforce Intelligence (CfWI) and the Forward looking Activities Mapping Environment (FLAME) of the EC funded European Foresight Platform (EFP).
2013 will be a year of sustained growth and innovation for Futures Diamond. Our technology development agenda will introduce new and better solutions providing our partners and clients with tools designed to empower stakeholder engagement, intelligence gathering and forward looking decision-making processes.
The role of forward-looking activities for the governance of Grand Challenges: Insights from the European Foresight Platform.
(by Ron Johnston)
FLAs and new Patterns of Governance of Research and Innovation
(by Matthias Weber)
Reach and Impact of Forward Looking Activities: Case Study Analysis of follow-up briefs
(by Susanne Giesecke and Dirk Johann)
The Value of FLA for Strategic Policy Making
(by Annelieke van der Gießen and Elisabetta Marinelli)
Reach and Impact of Forward Looking Activities (FLA) Mapping: Towards a Fully-Fledged Futures Mapping Environment
(by Rafael Popper/Effie Amanatidou/Thomas A. Teichler)
FLA as a Means of Participation in Modern Democratic Decison Making
(by Susanne Giesecke)
Grand Challenges and Foresight in EFP: Healthy Ageing – Urban Europe – Smart Mobility
(Bas van Schoonhoven)
FLA Anticipate Sustainable Development Challenges for Better Policy Support
(by Vicente Carabias, Cristiano Cagnin, Karel Haegeman, Totti Könnölä)
FLA Orienting Innovation Systems towards Grand Challenges and Increased Governance
(by Cristiano Cagnin)
- Keynote on Methods for the Identification of Emerging Risks.
- Chair of Discussion Group on Methods for the Identification of Emerging Risks.
EFSA’s 15th Scientific Colloquium – Emerging Risks (Parma, Italy)
In a rapidly changing world, governments are frequently confronted with unforeseen crises as well as longer term challenges arising from a broad range of domains. As a consequence, policy makers are now becoming increasingly aware of the importance of having robust systems in place to identify emerging risks at their early inception. Ideally, such a system would provide an opportunity for risk assessors to undertake their full risk characterization, and for risk managers to put in place strategies for prevention and control, possibly avoiding unnecessary scares at a population level.
EFSA is developing a methodological framework, including a data monitoring capacity, data filtering methodology and networking structures to identify emerging risks and drivers of emerging risks in a timely fashion and to communicate these to the risk manager.
The objective of this Colloquium is to bring together international experts from different sectors related to food safety for an open scientific debate on key issues related to the identification of emerging risks, as defined by EFSA in 2007 (Definition and description of emerging risks within the EFSA’s mandate).
The main objective is to provide inputs for the development of EFSA’s methodological framework for emerging risks identification.
Discussions will focus on four main topics, namely on available methods to identify emerging risks, strategic sources of information and strategies for data collection, identification of drivers of change as underling causes of emerging risks, and on opportunities for the establishment of an international network to communicate on emerging risks.
The meeting was structured to enable participants to reach conclusions and make recommendations in small groups, focusing the discussions on four specific topics after a short plenary session with few introductory presentations. The discussion groups (DGs) were focused on the following themes:
DG 1 – Methods for the identification of emerging risks
DG 2 – Identification of data types and sources for the identification of emerging risks
DG 3 – How to build an international network, and to communicate successfully with the risk managers on emerging risks
DG 4 – Potential drivers of change – an expert opinion elicitation
For the Colloquium agenda, please click here
(Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia) I was invited as speaker on Foresight Practices, Outputs and Players in Europe and Latin America in the opening workshop of the Malaysia National Foresight Programme. The theme of the workshop was on “Foresight – The Strategic Navigation Towards Sustainable Future” and around 150 participants attended the event.
For further information about the Malaysian Foresight Programme, please visit http://www.myforesight.my/
The 2-day kick-off conference of the European Foresight Platform has been held on June 14 and 15, 2010 at the Vienna French Cultural Institute in Austria. With over 80 attendees and about 20 presenters the event has been a huge success by bringing together international professional foresight communities, representatives from the European Commission and policy as well as the EFP consortium and the interested general public.
A variety of different foresight and forward-looking projects and institutions have been presented at the conference. It has been a tour through all different perspectives of future-related activities which included quantitative forecasting and modeling, scenario development, technology forecasts and roadmaps, societal and cultural oriented future studies, participatory elements in foresight, weak signal and wild card research, foresight databases and ideas about new methods like using gaming and social networks for foresight and forward looking activities.
As the European Foresight Platform (EFP) project can be seen as the follow up of the European Foresight Monitoring Network (EFMN), the EFP Mapping Environment will be based on the proven concept of the EFMN Mapping activities. However, the lessons learned during the EFMN project will be integrated in the new EFP Mapping Environment.
The Mapping Environment will be both (a) an independent working environment for the EFP WorkPackage 2 activities lead by the University of Manchester and (b) a “plug-in” section of the EFP website (lead by TNO). The main objectives of developing a fully operational mapping environment are:
- To map foresight practices, outcomes and players
- To analyse key features and outputs of foresight exercises
- To put in place an interactive “Mapping Environment” for data input/validation/output
- To provide a common space to share and discuss foresight findings and documents
- To interact and share information with other work packages (especially the website)
- To network the Mapping Environment with other EC projects/networks (i.e. ERAWATCH, METRIS, iKNOW)
- To generate appealing information about practices and key findings of foresight exercises (producing annual mapping reports for different readership)
On the 19th of March 2010, the Institute of Management and Public Administration of the State of Mexico (IAPEM) opened a new Centre for Foresight Studies (CEP). The ceremony began with welcoming remarks from the President of IAPEN, Isidro Muñoz Rivera, who introduced some of the rationales and specific objectives of the Centre of Foresight Studies (CEP), for example: to undertake foresight studies in a context characterised by constant paradigm transformation; to visualise scenarios for better management and public administration practices; and to achieve desirable and possible futures through effective governance and participative policy-making.
This was followed by a few words from the Head of the National Advisory Board of the Centre, Yuri Serbolov Palos, who briefly introduced the Mexican activities and major players in foresight. Subsequently, the Director of CEP, Christian Alvarado, introduced the two international speakers: Rafael Popper (keynote on Global Foresight Practices and Trends) and Javier Medina (keynote on Foresight in Latin America).
After the keynotes, a commemorative plaque was unveiled. The English translation reads:
A space of reflection for good governance
On the Nineteenth of March of 2010 was the inauguration of the
CENTRE FOR FORESIGHT STUDIES
With the presence of the distinguished foresighters:
University of Manchester, England
Universidad del Valle, Colombia
Toluca, State of Mexico