Posts Tagged ‘foresight’

2018 Course on The ART of Foresight & Sustainable Futures

February 27, 2018 Leave a comment

Interested in shaping the future? Join our 5-day course (2-6 July) on ‘The ART of Foresight & Sustainable Futures’ in the Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIOIR). Since 2018 the course runs in partnership with VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, a leading global research & technology development organization.

  • To download the 2018 course brochure, please click here
  • To visit the webpage of the 2018 course, please click here

Anticipating, Recommending and Transforming Research and Innovation Futures

The world is experiencing great uncertainties about the unfolding economic crisis and its aftershocks. Many countries, industries and public services face challenging futures where the quest for opportunities is increasingly competitive. Economic discontent has combined with existing political stresses to catch many institutions – and countries – wrong-footed. Meanwhile, globalisation, migration, environmental, political and technological trends are reshaping the rules of the game. This calls for critical reflections on existing assumptions, plans and strategies for the long-term future. Our foresight course explores ways in which decision-makers can address uncertainties. How to produce sound and forward looking results that are useful for decision-makers?

The Manchester Institute of Innovation Research has been running an annual foresight training course since 1999. Building on over twenty years of foresight experience, we are able to call upon a wealth of expertise, from staff with know-how of the practice of foresight, as well as from sponsors and practitioners. The course now runs in partnership with VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland, a leading global research and technology development organisation. Future-oriented innovation policy research is a key focus for VTT, supported by the Centre’s competencies in qualitative and quantitative methods.

Course staff and invited experts/speakers


Torino Process Expert Roundtable On Policy Evaluation

February 25, 2018 Leave a comment

Relevant policy assessment and evaluation frameworks

The European Training Foundation (ETF) has initiated a reflection on how the Torino Process (TRP) can be used to introduce and promote an evaluation dimension in the exercise.  

To that end, on February 26th an expert roundtable has been organised in Torino (Italy) to share knowledge and practices in the area of policy evaluation, and discuss their applicability in line with the specificities of the TRP and its partner countries.

The expert meeting aims to provide an opportunity to get acquainted with selected aspects of the TRP, and benefit from the knowledge and advice of renowned experts in evaluation concerning key questions, such as whether evaluation could add value to the TRP and if yes, how.

The outcomes of the meeting will inform the preparation of the next cycle of the TRP and help to adjust accordingly the framework and modalities of TRP implementation.

trp logo for web

The Torino Process

The Torino expert meeting offers an excellent opportunity to share lessons learned from state-of-the-art evaluation experiences, such as the twelve (12) key performance indicators (KPIs) considered in VTT’s Strategic and Sound Evaluation Approach (see Hiltunen et al., 2017/forthcoming), the four (4) dimensions and ten (10) key aspects used in the CASI-F Framework for the Assessment and Management of Sustainable Innovation (see Popper et al., 2017) and twenty (20) fully-fledged evaluation criteria used in the (“old but gold”) MIOIR‘s Evaluating Foresight study (Popper et al., 2010).

Relevant reports


Horizon scanning: why and how to launch it in Lithuania?

February 22, 2018 Leave a comment


The Healthcare Innovation Forum in Vilnius (Lithuania) provides an excellent opportunity to share how VTT‘s Lighthouses research and innovation activities can help to promote ‘Good Life’ in Finland and the World through ‘citizen-centric care’ solutions. In the panel discussion and short keynote I showcased good practices, as well as recent experiences and lessons learned from the UK Horizon Scanning on Healthcare. To download the slides please click here  


The first panel debate at the LAWG’s Healthcare Innovation Forum 2018 on “Horizon scanning: why & how to launch it in Lithuania?” featured the following speakers:

  • Dr. Alvydas Česas, Chief of Oncology & Chemotherapy Clinic at Klaipeda University Hospital. Dr. Česas is a certified physician and medical oncologist with over 20 yrs of experience in the field of oncology. He is also the President of Lithuanian Society for Medical Oncology.
  • Per Troein from VP Strategic Partners, IQVIA, UK. Mr. Troein has been with QI for 19 years and is responsible for the relationship with suppliers and associations. He has deep insight around pharmaceutical pricing and how this issue is handled in different markets.
  • Prof. Dr. Rafael Popper from VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland Ltd, Finland/Venezuela/UK. His main areas of work include: ‘foresight’ as an instrument of innovation policy, the development of foresight and horizon scanning methodology, the design of forward-looking activities and their evaluation with a focus on technological and social innovation policies, and the assessment and management of sustainable innovations.


To see the full programme, please click here.

PS. In case you don’t know where Vilnius is, you may find the following controvertial and cheeky, yet impactful, campaign/news interesting 😉



Towards a more responsible sustainable innovation assessment and management culture in Europe

January 15, 2018 Leave a comment

This article presents new concepts and practical approaches resulting from the piloting of CASI-F – a common framework for the assessment and management of sustainable innovation (SI). Based on lessons learned from action research carried out in the context of the EU funded CASI project, the article focuses on the meta-analysis of 46 action roadmaps produced with 43 innovators supporting the practical application of CASI-F. The applied methodology helped to demonstrate that a multi-level and multi-actor advice approach promotes a shift towards improved understanding of innovations-related critical issues (barriers, drivers, opportunities and threats) and stakeholders’ relations, as well as their management, thus promoting the sustainable resilience and transformation of socio-technical systems. This paper first reflects on how we arrived to managerial lessons from the actions roadmaps and how could these lessons be used to assess the current state of affairs and potential way forward for European initiatives and instruments promoting sustainable innovation.

Article URL:

Keywords: sustainable innovation, management, resilience, action roadmaps

Journal: Engineering Management in Production and Services


A truly bottom-up & community-led foresight process on the future of Espoo International School (EIS)

September 10, 2017 Leave a comment

A truly bottom-up initiative has organically emerged to promote a more transparent and participatory community engagement process that will hopefully support the forthcoming decision-making about the potential relocation of Espoo International School (EIS) to Otaniemi.

The main activities of the process are reported in a new Blog aimed to capture as many EIS Community comments, concerns and insights about the positive and negative impacts as well as broader societal implications of moving EIS out of Opinmäki.



VTT team shows how the GTAP model will be used in the forest-based bioeconomy foresight project in Uruguay

August 16, 2017 Leave a comment

IMG_2181The forest-based (or wood-based) bioeconomy is an important sub-sector of the overall bioeconomy. In countries with an abundant forest resources the economic magnitude of forests in bioeconomy is high, for example in Finland, roughly half of total bioeconomy output. The countries with substantial forest resources and related advanced scientific and technological competences have good opportunities to play a role of forerunner in the modern future oriented bioeconomy.

In the context of the Forest-based Bioeconomy Areas in Uruguay by 2050 project VTT is leading with the support of the Office of Planning and Budgeting (OPP) of Uruguay and several representatives from government, business, research and civil society actors, Dr. Juha Honkatukia and Dr. Rafael Popper showed how the GTAP model can be used to identify future bioeconomy policy options for Uruguay.

Finnish experience on using modelling to support strategic planning

The session gives several examples on the use of economic modelling in the analyses of policies to boost the development of bioeconomy in Finland, ranging from the national energy and climate strategies to assessment of the viability and regional consequences of biorefineries.

GTAP model

The session on the GTAP model will cover the structure of the model and its core databases with emphasis on the applicability of the model on single-country analyses. As the GTAP data base covers bilateral trade on dozens of commodities and over a hundred countries, the session will also facilitate a discussion on the necessary aggregation of the basic data.



International Seminar on Foresight and Sustainable Innovation at UNIVALLE (Cali, Colombia)

July 13, 2017 Leave a comment

In the context of Universidad del Valle (UNIVALLE)’s efforts to further improve its research excellence (currently Top 3 in the country according to U-Sapiens ranking),  an International Seminar on Foresight and Sustainable Innovation took place in Cali on 13-14 July 2017.

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The seminar was organised by Dr. Javier Medina Vásquez (Vice-Rector for Research of UNIVALLE) and attended by some 30 senior researchers, academics and postgraduate students. The main purpose of the seminar was twofold:

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Lecture based on EU-SPRI Vienna Conference paper by Hyytinen, Kallio & Popper (2017)

As the CASI project ended in June 2017, the seminar was fully funded by UNIVALLE in the spirit of strengthening linkages with VTT´s Business, Innovation and Foresight (BIF) Research Area and the scientific coordinators of the CASI Tutorial.

The success of the seminar can be measured by the fact that practically all participants completed the full course with a score of 80% or above in the self-assessment tasks, which resulted in most of them receiving a certificate of outstanding completion.


Certificate of Outstanding Completion

Furthermore, the news about the online course spread throughout Colombia with the participation of researchers and students from other universities such as Universidad Nacional de Colombia (Bogotá), Universidad Javeriana (Bogotá), Universidad Antonio Nariño (Bogotá), Universidad Cooperativa de Colombia (Medellín), Universidad del Rosario (Bogotá), among others. As a result, Colombia now stands in 1st position in terms number of participants and certificates on ‘Sustainable Innovation Assessment and Management’.

See list of course participants (as of 4 September 2017)

Colombia 86
Bulgaria 43
Portugal 22
Poland 19
Czech Republic 18
Peru 15
Austria 12
Italy 10
United Kingdom 10
Germany 6
Finland 5
Mexico 3
Belgium 2
France 2
Korea South 2
Slovenia 2
Spain 2
Tanzania 2
Argentina 1
Burkina Faso 1
Cyprus 1
Denmark 1
Ecuador 1
Egypt 1
Greece 1
Japan 1
Kyrgyzstan 1
Luxembourg 1
Panama 1
Romania 1
Singapore 1
Tajikistan 1
Venezuela 1
Total 276
Completed 107