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Towards Foresight 3.0

November 3, 2013 Leave a comment

Mapping Futures Studies

December 1, 2012 Leave a comment

Popper_2012_Mapping_Futures_Studies_Foresight-RussiaPopper, R. (2012) ‘Mapping Futures Studies’, Foresight-Russia, 6(2), pp. 56–75.

In recent decades Foresight and other forward-looking activities (FLA) gained ground as a tool of science, technology and innovation (STI) policy. The number of FLA studies is globally rising. To some extent, foresight is governed by context-depended issues; however there are also common features in the objectives, methodology, and recommendations made. Mapping allows codifying and analyzing a bulk of FLA experiences gained worldwide. This in turn will contribute to enhancing performance of such activities and therefore of STI policy as a whole.

The paper provides rationales for Futures Studies mapping, considers related opportunities and challenges, reviews lessons learned from early mapping efforts. It focuses on the large-scale EU-funded mapping project “European Foresight Platform” (EFP). Using this project as illustration, the paper describes mapping routines, the selected indicators of mapped Foresight initiatives, including their objectives, participants, target groups, methodologies, outcomes and recommendations. It discusses the potential and the limitations of particular mapping tools as well as possible applications of gained knowledge. Basing on mapping results, policy-makers, for example, are able to identify gaps to be addressed with relevant policy tools, Mapping also allows Foresight practitioners to develop strategies for further research and shape expert networks for their implementation.

Grand Challenges and S&T Foresight

April 4, 2012 Comments off

Dr Popper at HSE (Moscow, 2012)Invited to speak about “Grand Challenges and S&T Foresight” at the section of «Science and Innovation» of the XIII International Academic Conference on “Economic and Social Development”

(Moscow, Russia – 4 April 2012)

The presentation was part of Session One on “Science and Technology Foresight in Russia”. The session was attended by over 200 people and moderated by Dr. Dirk Meissner. Other presentations of the session included: “S&T Foresight and its Place in Russian S&T Policy” by Prof. Leonid Gokhberg; and “S&T Foresight: Methods and Organisation” by  Prof. Alexander Sokolov. The session discussant was Dr Oleg Karasev.

New Instruments in Foresight Studies

October 13, 2011 Comments off

Dr Popper (2011)Presentation on New Instruments in Foresight Studies at the “Research Workshop Foresight and Science, Technology and Innovation Policies: Best Practices” (Higher School of Economics, Russia).

The workshop was attended by some 100 stakeholders representing the research, business and public sectors in Russia. International speakers included Prof. Ian Miles, Prof. Luke Georghiou, Dr. Michael Keenan and Dr. Jennifer Cassingena Harper, among others.

Information Society Technologies and Europe’s Objectives

May 1, 2008 Leave a comment

Information-Society-Technologies-and-Europe-ObjectivesPopper R. and Miles I. (2008) Information Society Technologies and Europe’s Objectives. Foresight-Russia,  2(1), pp. 52-59 (in Russian)

The FISTERA study included a large-scale online Delphi survey, in which over 500 experts contributed their views as to the future development of IST (Infirmation Society Technologies) in the EU. The study was particularly concerned to examine how far specific applications of IST could contribute to a number of European objectives (inspired by the Lisbon Agenda), and to elicit views as to the major challenges that will be confronted, areas where research is needed, and how far European capabilities exist to be excellent in these topics. This chapter outlines some of the highlights of the study, illustrating these with a selection of results.