The foresight team of the Manchester Institute of Innovation Research (MIoIR) has successfully delivered a 3-day foresight course for the National Research Council (CNR) in Italy.
The course programme consisted of 16 sessions, including eight lectures, five practical exercises and three interactive discussions:
The eight lectures focused on:
- Foresight Fundamentals and Methods: A comprehensive review of Foresight Methods, tools and techniques (Delivered by R. Popper)
- Foresight Fundamentals and Methods: Analysis of the pros and cons of each of the tools and methodologies (Delivered by R. Popper)
- A detailed examination of top-down vs. bottom-up foresight approaches (Delivered by R. Popper & G. Velasco)
- Using Interaction: Multi-Stakeholder and WI-WE Workshops – Selected case studies: VERA and iKnow projects (Delivered by R. Popper)
- Using Expertise: Expert Panels and Interviews (Delivered by R. Popper & G. Velasco)
- Roadmapping Fundamentals and Applications (Delivered by R. Popper & G. Velasco)
- Using the results of Foresight: From Anticipating to Recommending Futures (Delivered by R. Popper & G. Velasco)
- Sustaining impact: On foresight and horizon scanning platforms (Delivered by R. Popper)
The five practical exercises focused on:
- Process and Methodology
- Design and management of participatory processes
- Design and management of expert-based processes
- Recommendations and Impact
The three interactive discussions focused on:
- Mixing technocratic and democratic approaches: How could additional tools or techniques add value to the current S&T Foresight Project approach?
- Strengths and weaknesses of various Foresight approaches with particular reference to the Science and Technology Project approach
- CNR Foresight vis-à-vis global foresight approaches: How can the S&T Foresight team improve the presentation of the results of the Foresight project? How can stakeholder engagement be improved?
For further information about the CNR Foresight Project, please contact Luisa Tondelli at firstname.lastname@example.org
To see the full course programme, please click here
- Keynote on Methods for the Identification of Emerging Risks.
- Chair of Discussion Group on Methods for the Identification of Emerging Risks.
EFSA’s 15th Scientific Colloquium – Emerging Risks (Parma, Italy)
In a rapidly changing world, governments are frequently confronted with unforeseen crises as well as longer term challenges arising from a broad range of domains. As a consequence, policy makers are now becoming increasingly aware of the importance of having robust systems in place to identify emerging risks at their early inception. Ideally, such a system would provide an opportunity for risk assessors to undertake their full risk characterization, and for risk managers to put in place strategies for prevention and control, possibly avoiding unnecessary scares at a population level.
EFSA is developing a methodological framework, including a data monitoring capacity, data filtering methodology and networking structures to identify emerging risks and drivers of emerging risks in a timely fashion and to communicate these to the risk manager.
The objective of this Colloquium is to bring together international experts from different sectors related to food safety for an open scientific debate on key issues related to the identification of emerging risks, as defined by EFSA in 2007 (Definition and description of emerging risks within the EFSA’s mandate).
The main objective is to provide inputs for the development of EFSA’s methodological framework for emerging risks identification.
Discussions will focus on four main topics, namely on available methods to identify emerging risks, strategic sources of information and strategies for data collection, identification of drivers of change as underling causes of emerging risks, and on opportunities for the establishment of an international network to communicate on emerging risks.
The meeting was structured to enable participants to reach conclusions and make recommendations in small groups, focusing the discussions on four specific topics after a short plenary session with few introductory presentations. The discussion groups (DGs) were focused on the following themes:
DG 1 – Methods for the identification of emerging risks
DG 2 – Identification of data types and sources for the identification of emerging risks
DG 3 – How to build an international network, and to communicate successfully with the risk managers on emerging risks
DG 4 – Potential drivers of change – an expert opinion elicitation
For the Colloquium agenda, please click here
The 2-day kick-off conference of the European Foresight Platform has been held on June 14 and 15, 2010 at the Vienna French Cultural Institute in Austria. With over 80 attendees and about 20 presenters the event has been a huge success by bringing together international professional foresight communities, representatives from the European Commission and policy as well as the EFP consortium and the interested general public.
A variety of different foresight and forward-looking projects and institutions have been presented at the conference. It has been a tour through all different perspectives of future-related activities which included quantitative forecasting and modeling, scenario development, technology forecasts and roadmaps, societal and cultural oriented future studies, participatory elements in foresight, weak signal and wild card research, foresight databases and ideas about new methods like using gaming and social networks for foresight and forward looking activities.
The iKNOW project has successfully developed a dynamic three dimensional (3D) tag cloud to visualise keywords associated to more than 400 wild cards and weak signals (wi-we) potentially shaping or shaking the future of science, technology and innovation in Europe and the world.
To visit iKNOW’s tag cloud, please click here.
Since January 2009 we have been developing the iKNOW Community. We have developed Web 2.0 platforms aimed to interconnect and share knowledge of people who care about science, technology and innovation (STI).
If you think you belong to one or more of the following groups, please join us and share your knowledge about emerging issues (e.g. weak signals or wild cards) shaping or shaking the future of science, technology and innovation (STI)
- Are you a policy-maker? (dealing with local, national, EC, IGOs or INGO issues)
- Are you a decision-maker? (dealing with SMEs and large corporations issues)
- Are you a researcher? (dealing with RTD or STI-related issues)
- Are you a foresight or futures research practitioner ?
For further information about the iKNOW Community, please click here.
The Czech Technology Centre of the Academy of Sciences and the University of Manchester successfully completed Day Two of the iKNOW workshop in Prague. This involved: (1) Looking at the relationship between Wild Cards and Weak Signals and what issues this creates and (2) Discussing early actions and potential early reactions for the policy, research and business sectors.
At the end of the working sessions, we presented the past, ongoing and future activities of the iKNOW project. For further information, please visit the project website at: www.iknowfutures.eu
The Czech Technology Centre of the Academy of Sciences and the University of Manchester organised an interactive workshop in Prague on 29th and 30th March 2010. The workshop is part of the iKNOW project’s activities aimed to discuss the impact of unexpected events on European research and development (R&D) and look at the implications this may have on future R&D priorities, innovation, growth and sustainability.
The workshop focused on surprising events (e.g. wild cards) and emerging issues (including weak signals) with four groups looking at three overlapping themes: Information and Communication Technologies, Security and Nuclear Research.
The workshop had five main objectives:
- To introduce the Wild Card approach and our Grand Challenges list
- To analyse and evaluate Wild Cards from the iKnow library
- To generate new Wild Cards which are relevant to selected themes
- To look at the relationship between Wild Cards and Weak Signals
- To explore implications for policy, research and technology development
Twenty wild card situations were discussed during the first day of the workshop.