Here we present the results of the first round of the Delphi Survey on the Future Internet.
A total of 235 experts took part in the study. These results have been used for main goal of the EU-funded Toward a Future Internet project: the creation of scenarios about a future internet. Two other major sources were also used to form the scenarios as well as the results of this Delphi Survey First Round: (1) Research on the many trends at a socio-economic level that will influence a future internet and also other projects looking at this subject, such as the Stanford ‘Clean Slate’ project; and (2) A major two-day workshop in September 2009 in Brussels with some 20 external experts, which produced strong debate and helped us to reshape our ideas, in some ways completely.
All of this work has been to put together in an initial analysis, an Interim Report, soon to be released, whose core is a set of early scenarios.
In the second round of this Delphi survey we wish to analyse a series of early scenarios, based on the first round’s results plus the extra socio-economic research and the September 2010 Brussels workshop.
So the Second Round presents five scenarios for you to consider and critique. These may seem to be extensions in particular directions but this is to make them identifiably different so that particular characteristics can be clearly seen, although overlaps may exist while combinations of several scenarios may be preferred.
The second round of the Delphi survey and the report are available at:
Towards a Future Internet project website
The European Union and its 25 member states, as well as many other governments around the World, are studying carefully the social dimensions of Information Society Technology and its various applications in different areas of social and economic life. Having this in mind, The FISTERA Delphi set out to determine expert views of the following issues:
- What are the main challenges that R&D needs to address in Information Society Technologies (IST)?
- What are the main impediments for developing IST applications?
- What actions should the European Union (EU) implement to achieve more effective and socially beneficial IST development and application?
- How do specific IST Application Areas (e.g. Government, Health, Education, etc.) contribute to specific EU goals (e.g. job and wealth creation, competitiveness, etc.)?
- Which IST Application Areas are liable to contribute most significantly to the success of European knowledge economies?
- What are the EU’s capabilities for generating IST applications and for industrial exploitation of IST?
- How well prepared are public and private research sectors to seize the opportunities presented by developing IST?
- Which stakeholders can contribute most to the development of specific IST Application Areas?
The FISTERA Delphi examined the period to 2010 and beyond. 2010 is the date to which the Lisbon Objectives (i.e. improvement of job & wealth creation; competitiveness; social cohesion & inclusion; and environmental quality in the European Union) are oriented, and is thus an important reference point. But the full implications of many emerging IST applications are unlikely to be fully realised until after that date, and the European Information Society will certainly continue to evolve beyond then.
The study is intended to inform discussions around the future Framework Programme (FP7). It is mainly focused on prospects for the EU25, and many of the experts consulted come from the EU15 and New Member States (NMS); but we also have some participation from experts from other countries. Where appropriate, results are disaggregated by region, so we can compare views of experts from different locations.
Click here to download the report (2.3 MB).